ZAR/JPY may fall 664 - 996 pips

Our pivot point stands at 8.5269.

Our preference

The downside prevails as long as 8.5269 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

The upside breakout of 8.5269, would call for 8.5828 and 8.6160.

Comment

The RSI is trading below 30. This could mean that either the pair is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and that therefore a rebound could shape (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price is trading under both its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 8.5473 and 8.5674). Finally, the ZAR/JPY has penetrated its lower Bollinger band (8.4750).

Supports and resistances

8.6160 **

8.5828 *

8.5269 **

8.5049

8.4680 last

8.4016

8.3684 **

8.3352 *

8.3020 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.