USD/CZK may fall 68 - 102 pips

Our pivot point is at 23.118.

Our preference

The downside prevails as long as 23.118 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

The upside breakout of 23.118, would call for 23.176 and 23.210.

Comment

The RSI is trading below 30. This could mean that either the pair is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and that therefore a rebound could shape (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price is trading under both its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 23.162 and 23.214). Finally, the USD/CZK has penetrated its lower Bollinger band (23.057).

Supports and resistances

23.210 **

23.176 *

23.118 **

23.096

23.014 last

22.946

22.912 **

22.878 *

22.844 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.