EUR/AUD may fall 49 - 74 pips

Our pivot point stands at 1.6759.

Our preference

The downside prevails as long as 1.6759 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.6759, look for 1.6800 and 1.6824.

Comment

The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the pair is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is negative and below its signal line. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.6798 and 1.6817).

Supports and resistances

1.6824 **

1.6800 *

1.6759 **

1.6743

1.6717 last

1.6668

1.6643 **

1.6619 *

1.6595 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.