USD/PLN may rise 140 - 189 pips

Our pivot point is at 3.8455.

Our preference

The upside prevails as long as 3.8455 is support.

Alternative scenario

The downside breakout of 3.8455 would call for 3.8373 and 3.8324.

Comment

The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the pair is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 3.8447 and 3.8454). Finally, the USD/PLN is trading above its upper Bollinger band (standing at 3.8549).

Supports and resistances

3.8853 **

3.8804 *

3.8755 **

3.8706

3.8566 last

3.8487

3.8455 **

3.8373 *

3.8324 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.