USD/RON may fall 161 - 240 pips

Our pivot point stands at 4.4853.

Our preference

The downside prevails as long as 4.4853 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

The upside breakout of 4.4853, would call for 4.4987 and 4.5067.

Comment

The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the pair is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is negative and below its signal line. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4.4803 and 4.4828).

Supports and resistances

4.5067 **

4.4987 *

4.4853 **

4.4800

4.4715 last

4.4554

4.4475 **

4.4395 *

4.4315 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.