EUR/USD may fall 29 - 43 pips

Our pivot point stands at 1.0961.

Our preference

The downside prevails as long as 1.0961 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.0961, look for 1.0984 and 1.0998.

Comment

The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the pair is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.0955 and 1.0965). Finally, the EUR/USD is trading below its lower Bollinger band (standing at 1.0940).

Supports and resistances

1.0998 **

1.0984 *

1.0961 **

1.0952

1.0939 last

1.0910

1.0896 **

1.0882 *

1.0868 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.