EUR/NZD may fall 76 - 112 pips

1.7940 is our pivot point.

Our preference

The downside prevails as long as 1.7940 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.7940, look for 1.8002 and 1.8038.

Comment

The RSI is trading below 30. This could mean that either the pair is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and that therefore a rebound could shape (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is negative and below its signal line. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.7920 and 1.7935). Finally, the EUR/NZD is trading below its lower Bollinger band (standing at 1.7893).

Supports and resistances

1.8038 **

1.8002 *

1.7940 **

1.7916

1.7886 last

1.7810

1.7774 **

1.7737 *

1.7700 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.