USD/CAD may rise 37 - 54 pips

Our pivot point is at 1.3819.

Our preference

The upside prevails as long as 1.3819 is support.

Alternative scenario

The downside breakout of 1.3819 would call for 1.3790 and 1.3773.

Comment

The RSI is trading above 70. This could mean that either the pair is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and that therefore a correction could shape (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is trading above both its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3825 and 1.3830). Finally, the USD/CAD is trading above its upper Bollinger band (standing at 1.3849).

Supports and resistances

1.3939 **

1.3921 *

1.3904 **

1.3887

1.3850 last

1.3831

1.3819 **

1.3790 *

1.3773 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.