EUR/USD may fall 18 - 27 pips

1.0814 is our pivot point.

Our preference

The downside prevails as long as 1.0814 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

The upside breakout of 1.0814, would call for 1.0829 and 1.0838.

Comment

The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the pair is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.0849 and 1.0875).

Supports and resistances

1.0838 **

1.0829 *

1.0814 **

1.0809

1.0801 last

1.0783

1.0774 **

1.0765 *

1.0757 **

Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.